Revenue grew from $2.3M to $3.1M between 2023 and 2025. That momentum is real. But ADR stagnated, the booking window compressed, and the renovations haven't fully landed in your rates yet. This analysis shows where the opportunity is and how much it's worth.
Revenue grew steadily. But occupancy is doing most of the lifting, not ADR. That's a rate strategy problem, not a demand problem.
| Year | Revenue | ADR | RevPAR | Occupancy | Avg Booking Window | Cancellation Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $2,266,000 | $136 | $71 | 52% | 15 days | 7.2% |
| 2024 | $2,958,000 | $159 | $92 | 58% | 35 days | 16.4% (hurricanes) |
| 2025 | $3,104,000 | $158 (-$1) | $96 (+4%) | 61% | 21 days | 9.2% |
ADR flatlined while occupancy grew. You're filling more rooms, not charging more for them.
RevPAR up 35% since 2023. Driven almost entirely by occupancy. ADR improvement would compound this fast.
These are real strengths. Any RM strategy has to protect them.
March ADR hit $280 and April came in at $184. Both are strong. But June through August, the peak booking window for beach inventory, came in at $139 to $176. For renovated, beachfront product, that's a rate reset that hasn't happened yet.
Bars represent 2025 ADR by month. Oct/Nov highlighted in red reflect year-over-year ADR decline (Oct: $127 in 2024 vs $102 in 2025; Nov: $141 vs $106). Revenue recovered from hurricane-impacted 2024 levels, but ADR did not follow.
These are the specific structural issues we found in the booking data. Each one has a clear lever. None of them require renovating anything.
38% of bookings are 1-2 nights. These are the highest-friction, lowest-ADR stays. A well-tuned LOS strategy fills gap nights intelligently rather than discounting short stays to fill the calendar.
62% Airbnb dependency is standard for most operators, but a 45-year-old brand with a direct booking site doing 1% direct revenue has untapped margin opportunity. Every percentage point shifted to direct saves channel commission.
This is sized from your actual booking data. Not benchmarks. Not averages. Your numbers.
Gap math formula: target ADR improvement x current occupancy nights x 88 units. Revenue lift bands are calibrated to clients with 12+ months of tenure. We do not commit to a specific number for Nesty until we have had a real conversation about your business. Every engagement starts with a